Predicting Progression of Developing Myeloma in a High-Risk Screened Population (PROMISE) PROMISE

What's the purpose of this trial?

The PROMISE Study aims to establish a prospective cohort of individuals with precursor conditions to multiple myeloma, such as monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM).

This trial is currently open and accepting patients.


What will happen during the trial?

The goal of the PROMISE research study is to determine clinical/genomic alterations present in individuals with MGUS and SMM, who are diagnosed though screening of a high-risk population. We also seek to determine clinical/genomic/epigenetic and immune environmental predictors of progression to multiple myeloma in patients with MGUS and SMM.

You may be able to join this trial if you:

The following criteria is a partial list of reasons why patients may be eligible to participate in this clinical trial. Further evaluation with a medical professional is required.

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Age ≥ 45 and ≤75
  • AA race (self-identified) and/or first-degree relative of a patient with plasma cell dyscrasia such as MGUS, SMM, multiple myeloma, and Waldenström Macroglobulinemia
  • Those over 18 are also eligible if they have 2 or more family members with a blood cancer

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Persons diagnosed with cancer at any site (including hematologic cancers) with symptomatic disease requiring active therapy

Additional Trial Information

Observational Trial

Enrollment: 30,000 patients (estimated)

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Published Results

Results of the promise study from ~30,000 individuals screened for monoclonal gammopathies

December 09, 2025

Results: As of August, a total of 30,133 individuals were screened, including 15,500 high-risk participants. The median age at sample was 56 years (IQR:44-64), 60% were females, 28% Black/AA, and 24% Non-Black with FH-HM.

The overall prevalence of MGUS was 12.6% (n= 3,793; 95CI 12.2 - 13%), with LC-MGUS accounting for 1.6%. In high-risk populations aged ≥50 years, MGUS prevalence was higher in Black/AA individuals (17.8%) compared to Non-Black individuals with FH-HM (14.8%, p<0.001). Multivariable regression identified age (per 10-year increase) as the strongest predictor of MGUS, followed by Black race (OR 1.29, 95CI 1.06–1.57; p=0.01), male sex (OR 1.22, 95CI 1.09–1.36; p<0.001), and FH-HM (OR 1.16, 95CI 1.003- 1.33; p=0.046). BMI (per 5-unit change) and sample origin were not significant predictors. Subgroup analysis revealed that within individuals with FH-HM, race remained significantly associated with MGUS prevalence (OR 1.27, 95CI 1.12-1.44; p<0.001), while FH-HM was not a factor among self-identified Black individuals. Additionally, BMI demonstrated a unique association with MGUS prevalence in Black individuals (OR 1.12, 95CI 1.02-1.21; p=0.008), while age and sex remained significant predictors across groups.

Examining genetic ancestry in the multivariable model showed significant association between African ancestry and MGUS (OR 1.21; 95CI 1.07-1.38; p=0.003), suggesting a genetic contribution to the observed racial disparity. After adjusting for age and sex, no significant difference in MGUS prevalence was found between Black/AA individuals residing in South Africa and those residing in the US.

When comparing isotypes across groups, IgM MGUS prevalence was significantly lower in Black/AAs compared to the non-high-risk group (6% vs.17%; p<0.001), while IgG MGUS and IgA MGUS were more common (77% vs. 72%, p=0.016 and 17% vs. 11%, p<0.001). Among Non-Black individuals, only IgA MGUS prevalence was significantly higher in those with a FH-HM compared to those without (16% vs. 11%, p=0.002). In addition, significant differences in concentration were observed for IgM and IgG between risk groups, with a higher concentration of IgG MGUS in Black/AA compared to Non-Black risk groups (p<0.001).

Conclusion:

As efforts grow to evaluate population-level screening, this study in a racially diverse population refines risk stratification, identifying subgroups most likely to benefit while minimizing false positives. The higher prevalence in individuals of Black race and African ancestry, along with distinct age-related patterns, provides a foundation to assess the implications of targeted screening strategies and inform future screening guidelines.

Trial Links

Read the latest news and updates on this trial.

The PROMISE Study

March 21, 2026

THE PROMISE study is the first study to test healthy people who may be at risk for early warning signs of a blood cancer called multiple myeloma.
Read more

Trial Locations

All Trial Locations

View all clinical trial locations sorted by state.

Florida

Moffitt Cancer Center Magnolia Campus

Tampa, FL

Open and Accepting

Massachusetts

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute

Boston, MA

Open and Accepting
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